Stephen Curry holds the all-time NBA three-point record by such a wide margin that the second-place finisher would need to play several more seasons just to reach him. He has four championships. He is the only unanimous MVP in NBA history. He fundamentally altered how basketball is played at every level from the NBA down to youth rec leagues. And he's still out there shooting.
The Aging Curve Question
Curry's game is unusual because it relies less on athleticism than most star players. His three-point shooting is a skill, not a physical attribute — which means it should age better than, say, an above-the-rim scorer. The prediction markets price his season output accordingly: his three-point percentage markets tend to hold up even as the raw athleticism markets start to reflect age.
Markets Worth Watching
- →Will Curry shoot above 40% from three in 2025-26?
- →Will the Warriors make the playoffs?
- →Will Curry win another NBA championship before retirement?
- →Three-point records: Will his own record stand for 20 years?
- →Will Curry be a first-ballot Hall of Famer?
"Curry didn't just break the three-point record. He made every defense in basketball change how they guard space. That's not a record. That's a revolution."
— Basketball journalist, quoted on Boromarket blog
The Warriors Rebuild Context
Golden State is in transition. Klay Thompson left. Draymond Green is aging. The team around Curry is younger and less proven. The prediction markets on Warriors outcomes reflect this uncertainty — which creates opportunity if you believe Curry can elevate a less talented roster the way he has before.
Curry's three-point percentage in the first 20 games is the best leading indicator for his full-season performance. The sample size is usually enough to be significant.