Sadiq Khan won his third term as London Mayor in 2024, extending a tenure that has generated consistent prediction market interest. The 2024 mayoral race was watched closely — the ULEZ expansion and housing issues gave opponents ammunition, but the markets priced a Khan win throughout.
London Political Markets
London politics offers prediction market opportunities beyond just the Mayoral race. Assembly elections, key planning and policy decisions, and the dynamic between City Hall and Westminster all generate tradeable events. London is also where many political careers are made or broken.
London political markets are undertraded relative to national markets. Local knowledge of London issues is a genuine edge here.
Post-Khan, the London Mayor succession question opens a new set of markets. Who follows him, when, and with what mandate? These are live markets on Boromarket for traders who follow London politics closely.