Ben Stokes became England's Test captain in 2022 and, with coach Brendon McCullum, launched Bazball — an aggressive, attacking brand of cricket that has fundamentally changed how England play Tests and, consequently, how prediction markets price England outcomes.
What Bazball Changed in Cricket Markets
Before Bazball, England Test markets were relatively predictable. After Bazball, they became fascinating. England now win from positions that would previously have meant defeat — and that changes the probability curve on every match market.
Markets that priced England Tests using pre-Bazball historical data were systematically wrong for over a year. Adapting to structural changes before the market does is one of the core skills in sports prediction.
Stokes personal markets — centuries in the series, wickets taken, captain's innings in a crisis — are consistently active on Boromarket's cricket markets. He's one of the most compelling individual players to trade around.