Anthony Joshua's career is a prediction market trader's dream: a narrative with clearly defined chapters, dramatic reversals, and a resolution that perpetually stays just out of reach. He was the undisputed favourite to unify. Then Ruiz happened. Then he rebuilt. Then Usyk happened. Twice. And now here we are, watching AJ try to reclaim what he once had.
The AJ Market History
Before the first Ruiz fight, Joshua was trading at overwhelming favourite status. The upset generated one of the biggest single-fight market swings in heavyweight boxing history. Traders who had diversified their exposure across multiple outcomes actually cleaned up — the lesson being that even 'certainties' in boxing need a hedge.
- →Pre-Ruiz I: AJ around -700 favourite in most markets
- →Post-Ruiz I: Ruiz rematch markets opened almost even money
- →Pre-Usyk I: AJ slight favourite on home soil
- →Post-Usyk II: AJ's unification odds lengthened dramatically
- →Current markets: AJ as a gatekeeper-level favourite in any non-Usyk matchup
What Boromarket Traders Think About AJ's Future
The current consensus on Boromarket is that Joshua fights at least twice more before any unification attempt — both high-profile but winnable matchups designed to rebuild credibility and market value. The 'AJ wins a major belt before 2027' market sits at roughly even, which tells you the community is genuinely split.
"Boxing is chess. And AJ is still three moves from the endgame."
— A surprisingly philosophical Boromarket user
Joshua unification markets are long-term plays. The question isn't if he wants it — it's whether the path back to Usyk or Fury is politically possible.